Articles for tag: Autoritärer Populismus, Emmanuel Macron, Illiberalism, Rassemblement National

The French Fifth Republic Enters Uncharted Waters

After yesterday's elections, the French Fifth Republic steps into uncharted waters. In the short term, France’s role at the heart of EU integration and as a key supporter of Ukraine remains steadfast. This stability is impressive, given most predictions. However, this new phase of French politics will be fragmented and fluid, demanding a recalibration to find a stable equilibrium while countering the far right. French moderate parties face a tough road ahead. Their success or failure will not only shape France’s future but also reverberate beyond its borders.

8. Juli 2024

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The Limits of Contemporary French Constitutionalism

French President Emmanuel Macron’s dissolution of France’s National Assembly (its lower house of parliament) on June 9th took many by surprise.  The results of the snap election’s first round suggest that Macron’s risky gamble—an attempt at turning the tide after his party suffered a major blow in the European Parliament elections—backfired majestically. However, more than a political setback for Macron, and outside of the many (highly warranted) concerns as to what harmful policies a new far-right-dominated parliament could pass, the move also raises many interesting constitutional law questions. Whatever the outcome of the second round on Sunday, July 7, France will face unprecedented circumstances that are likely to put the country’s 1958 constitution to the test.

5. Juli 2024

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France’s Legislative Elections and the Uncertain Path to 2027

As most expected, Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National (RN) was the clear winner of the first round of the snap legislative elections in France, unexpectedly called by President Macron three weeks ago. Le Pen’s party, allied with a rump Les Républicains, led by Eric Ciotti, obtained 33.1% of the votes. A coalition including moderate and radical left parties, the Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP), came second with 28.1%, while the centrist parties supporting Gabriel Attal’s government received 21.3%. The mainstream right Républicains who refused to ally with the RN stopped at 6.6%. The RN confirmed its strong showing at last month’s European elections and more than doubled its votes in comparison to the last legislative elections of April 2022. Yet, an RN-led government is not a foregone conclusion.

2. Juli 2024

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Party Bans and Populism in Europe

In the latest episode in a decades-long conversation about militant democracy, the growing electoral success and radicalization of Alternative for Germany have relaunched debates about the appropriateness of restricting the political rights of those who might use those rights to undermine the liberal democratic order. While it is typical for dictatorships to ban parties, democracies also do so, but for different reasons and with compunction. Party bans respond to varying rationales which have evolved over time. However, a ban on the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany would be out of step with more general patterns of opposition to such parties in Europe.

27. März 2024

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Eine wirkliche Gefahr für die Verfassung

Recht und Gesetz sind keine Garanten dafür, dass sich staatliche Akteure an demokratische Spielregeln halten. Friedhelm Hufen hat in der FAZ kürzlich einen Text veröffentlicht, in dem er implizit das Gegenteil behauptet: Potenzielle Wahlerfolge der AfD in einem deutschen Bundesland seien keine Gefahr für die freiheitlich demokratische Grundordnung, weil die „Mechanismen der streitbaren Demokratie” und die Gewaltenteilung Schutz genug sind. Aber Hufen verfehlt den Kern der Debatte. Here is why. 

3. Februar 2024

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Parlamentarische Obstruktion

Eine autoritär-populistische Partei nutzt ihre demokratischen Rechte, um die demokratischen Rechte anderer abzubauen. Das tut sie im Namen des “Volkes”, das sie anfangs durch Wahlen legitimiert. Einmal an der Macht, bedient sie sich mit der Legitimation der Wähler*innen legaler Methoden, um ihre Pläne “im Pluralismus der legitimen Rechtsformen zu verstecken”. Mit entsprechender Mehrheit kann sie die Verfassung durch Verfassungsänderungen weniger demokratisch machen. Aber auch ohne eine solche Mehrheit oder Regierungsbeteiligung können autoritär-populistische Parteien Demokratie und Rechtsstaat auf Bundes- oder Länderebene auf vermeintlich verfassungsgemäßen Wege untergraben.

29. Januar 2024

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A Second Term for „the World’s coolest Dictator”?

On October 26, Nayib Bukele, current President of the Republic of El Salvador, officially registered his candidacy for the presidency. This is in clear violation of El Salvador’s Constitution which prohibits the renewed, consecutive candidacy of a sitting president.  In the "Western" media, Bukele has mostly made the news for establishing "mega-prisons" and conducting mass arrests under his watch. In this blogpost, I highlight the political moves that Bukele has made to legitimize his rule and methods, including his repeated extension of El Salvador’s state of emergency and his capture of the Constitutional Chamber. Together with his renewed candidacy, his rule has destroyed El Salvador’s adherence to its own constitutional framework.

13. November 2023

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