Articles for tag: Deutsche AußenpolitikRusslandSicherheitsstrategieUkraine

“A Voice Crying in the Wilderness”

This post will reveal the history of Ukraine's continuing warning to Europe, and in particular to German authorities about the security dangers of the violent Russian regime and politics. It will demonstrate how the ignorant and weak reaction of German politics to these threats (given the prevalence of economic interests over security and European values) indirectly supported the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and how the Russian regime abused European languidness and neutrality to launch a large-scale war in Europe. This blogpost is not so much about condemning the mistakes of European politicians, but about suggesting ways to solve these problems, taking into account the experience with obvious mistakes.

International Legal Order as a National Security Interest

The "Zeitenwende" of 27 February 2022 is, in effect, an admission of a gap between long-recognised interests in multilateralism and international law, on the one hand, and the sufficiency of foreign and defence policy strategies for upholding them on the other. A primary commitment to the modes of multilateralism and underlying legal obligations is no longer sufficient—if indeed it ever was—and Germany’s forthcoming National Security Strategy must address the more arduous political and military obligations necessary to make such a system possible. The turning point is, in short, the realisation of commitments deeply embedded in national foreign policy identity, which emerges as the foundation for broad legitimacy in the policy revolution.

Distrust – Trust – Recognition

Could it be that even Russia’s current political leadership is in truth not necessarily interested in conquering the land and people of Ukraine, but in proving Russia’s great power status? If so, the classification as a „regional power“ would be a violation of Russian self-esteem and status consciousness, for the healing of which Russia is starting a war that is contrary to international law, morally reprehensible, economically absurd and cruel, and devoid of any pragmatic rational explanation.

„Notwendig, aber nicht gut“

„Wir sind in einer anderen Welt aufgewacht“, sagte die grüne Außenministerin Annalena Baerbock wenige Stunden, nachdem Russland den Überfall auf die Ukraine begonnen hatte. Baerbock hatte sich über den russischen Präsidenten keine Illusionen gemacht. Deshalb spricht aus ihrem Satz nicht Naivität, die einige Kommentatoren ihr vorwarfen. Während des Bundestagswahlkampfs forderten nur die Grünen, die Pipeline Nord Stream 2 nicht in Betrieb zu nehmen. Die russlandfreundlichen Anwandlungen von einst, die sich vor allem aus antiamerikanischen Ressentiments speisten, hat die Partei abgelegt.

Flexible Neutralität

Die Schweiz hat die Sanktionen, welche die EU als Antwort auf die Aggression Russlands gegenüber der Ukraine verhängt hat, spät aber umfassend übernommen. Die Einordnung dieses vollständigen Schulterschlusses der Schweiz mit der EU ließ in der Presse nicht lange auf sich warten – noch gleichentags titelte die New York Times „Switzerland says it will freeze Russian asstes, setting aside a tradition of neutrality“. Doch so drastisch ist der Schritt der Schweiz gar nicht, er tangiert weder ihren neutralitätsrechtlichen Status, noch steht zum jetzigen Zeitpunkt fest, dass er eine generelle Neuausrichtung der Schweizer Neutralitätspolitik einleitet.

It’s Not Propaganda If It’s True

The first casualty of war is the truth. Putin’s reasons for the invasion, like his claims of genocide in Donbas, are abstruse and lack any basis in reality. Rather than addressing the West, this national propaganda is meant to convince the Russian people of the necessity of war. Is there a possibility to correct misinformation by communicating directly to the Russian people in Russian?

Crypto-assets as a blind spot in sanctions against Russia?

On 24 February 2022, Russia illegally invaded the territory of Ukraine. The international community was quick to condemn this military aggression and to issue sanctions. Missing in today's sanctions strategy, however, is the inclusion of crypto-assets. This is worrying, as it is highly likely that crypto-assets are used to fund the Russian war machine without anyone really seeing it.

Will Russia Yield to the ECtHR?

On 13 July 2021, the European Court of Human Rights published its judgment in Fedotova and Others v. Russia, a case which concerned the lack of legal recognition of same-sex relationships in the Russian legal system. The judges found the Russian laws to be in violation of Article 8 – the right to respect for private and family life and Article 14 – prohibition of discrimination. However, it is highly unlikely that Russia will enforce the judgment.

Seeing through the Eye of God

The messenger app Telegram is swamped with bots which gather and disseminate personal data. Roskomnadzor, Russia’s media watchdog, has just moved to block one of the prominent bots, proudly named ‘Eye of God’. While Telegram bots offer certain positive implications through the newfound transparency they afford, these do not override the tremendous privacy risks posed. But even more importantly, there is little the Russian authorities can do to force Eye of God and other bots to respect the rights of data subjects.